The Obama Putin Showdown at Ukraine’s Expense
Slowly Angela Merkel becomes more hard lined towards her great neighbour Russia, or is that foe as ex German Chancellor Schroeder speaks up for Putin. Germany is being sucked into a US provoked NATO vortex; “You’re either with us, or against us.”
The west is portrayed as one and uniform in its response to the calamity which has torn asunder politically and terroristically, “my word” the nation called Ukraine; that very same West, portrays the President of Russia as the problem; the cause of all Ukraine’s current woes.
Perhaps the truth is not so simple yet far more logical than the propaganda flowing from those who see the westernisation of Ukraine through right wing terrorism effecting a violent coup d’etat which routed a duly and democratically elected leader, as the only truth; their truth.
We now all know Russia has a historical naval base by legal treaty established in Sevastopol, Crimea; which is paramount to that nation’s ability to project itself about the Black Sea area of influence and into and out of, the Mediterranean. This Russia sees as crucial for its own well-being; something they may well be prepared to go to war for and possibly against all odds.
We also know that through centuries of turbulent history, many people of Ukraine are indeed ethnic Russian, or see themselves as such; speaking Russian willingly as their first language.
Many Eastern Ukrainians are such Russian speaking people with the majority of current Ukrainian citizens living in the autonomous region of the Crimean Peninsula, vehemently standing publicly as more ‘Russian’, than Ukrainian.
With the breakdown of civil order through the violent attacks on the nation’s capital Kiev; it is not unreasonable to see how Russia believed they were being squeezed by a political move orchestrated by the United States and NATO’s expansionism desires. An expansionism where not only was Russia to lose one of its last secure and significant remaining naval bases outside of the Baltic sea; but NATO would be in a position to militarily enhance the threat to another 2,200 kilometres of direct border with Russia; where it has never had the capacity to do so in previous history.
Putin – no matter what you think of him as a man – appears to have done what any sane and patriotic Russian leader would for his people. He declared by actions to Ukraine and the world; enough is enough.
He allowed his troops to control predominately Russian, Crimea’s defences – keeping in mind Russia is allowed legally to have 25,000 boots on soil in the Peninsula; by treaty. He has also given the citizens of this autonomous region of Ukraine, the democratic right to be heard and listened to via a referendum; the right to decide for themselves where their allegiance lies and who they should allow to take hold of theirs and their land’s destiny.
This happens this Sunday the 16th of March 2014.
- President Putin has sworn to the world he will honour the outcome of the ensuing referendum.
- President Obama has vowed reprisals for allowing such democratic processes to occur.
The west; The United States and NATO; The European UNION and the Ukrainian rebel Coup de’tat perpetrators, all know the winds blow in Russia’s favour.
Russia senses that war is a flint strike away. The unpredictable attitude of the Ukrainian right wingers of whom some have depicted as neo Nazi like forces, would indeed feel empowered to strike at Putin’s defences in Crimea when the vote on Sunday may well end in the call for a Crimean Peninsula secession to Russia. It is this very fact and reasoning President Putin has placed a large military force inside his Russian borders aligning with Ukraine’s.
This military might negates the ability of falsely and foolishly empowered, unconstitutionally placed, government leaders under the command of Yatsenyuk to move the Ukrainian forces towards Crimea. If he does; he risks leaving northern Ukraine exposed, vulnerable and depleted of defences.
In a game where only the Ukraine and Russian Crimea were the players; it is check mate for Yatsenyuk. The very tactics the US and the UN should have deployed against Iraq. Not even Saddam would have gone to battle against such an assured demise; not if there was an alternative.
Sadly, the scary piece in play; is the fear Unconstitutional Ukrainian leader Yatsenyuk will be emboldened whilst being tricked, into leading his nation to war with Russia on the understanding US backed NATO will come to his aid.
Why so scary:
A) The Ukrainian defences will be pulverised unnecessarily before any real and threatening response will have effect.
B) Europe via NATO will have to consider military response in Ukrainian defence as subtly eluded to by Kerry and Obama and most likely promised behind closed doors to Yatsenyuk.
C) United States has a past history of promising protection to those tricked into following US policy; but reneging when it comes time for the US to live up to that promise
D) Economies will collapse: European nations’; Russia’s; China’s and many indirectly will be financially affected from this fiscal fallout.
E) Then god forbid; the real possibility of nuclear war. Keep in mind, modern artillery now have the capability of firing mini nuclear-bomb shells.
In simple terms; go in search of one war, one insurgency where the US didn’t shoot bullets to get its way. At least as this Ukrainian fiasco unfolds, President Putin has yes; mobilised military might; but no, no shots in anger have as yet been fired; more a credit to both facing off armies perhaps than politicians.
When the Maidan riots were in full swing and the square’s building’s now seen as a burnt out structures were held by the terrorist led rioters of the street; Yanukovych’s authorities breached the 8th floor of an occupied building through the wall of an adjoining structure and were able to clear the upper floors down to the 6th level, where there, these authorities were stopped by the flames of the lower floors having been turned into a fiery conflagration by those in the streets. To give credence to the depths of violence each side was or was not committing; when the forces purged the upper floors of this building, they only used CS gas and stun grenades. No deadly force.
This is not the act of a desperate and callous leader or his army who care little for its people, but more so of an effort to restore order – as would be expected – by and in, any democratic arena. Yet as Yanukovych and his government were apparently falsely being deemed the Ukrainian murderous anti-Christs, it appears to have slipped from main stream reporting there is sound anecdotal evidence those killed – both police and protestors – in the streets by sniper fire were in fact the acts of the terrorist’s themselves.
It is the Yatsenyuk side who keep saying Ukraine gave up its – purloined via the USSR split – nuclear weapons on the promise NATO would be its protector. Here is a shuddering insight into the thought processes and string pulling of the currently installed undemocratic regime. Would they threaten the use of such weapons if they still controlled them. The words say, and inferences say, yes!
The US bolsters jet fighter strength in surrounding countries whilst maintaining an increased naval presence in the Black Sea. If the world; if NATO; call Putin a rat and corner him, do not be surprised that that rat bites back. It is just a rat protecting its own territory.
Brumbyy (With 2Ys)